Most Stock Market Predictions are Useless — Unless You’re a Superforecaster

A hand is holding a crystal ball.
Photo by Drew Beamer on Unsplash

A few days before the tech bubble burst in March 2000 after the Nasdaq index reached an all-time high of 5,048, Jeremy Siegel — author of the best-selling book, Stocks for the Long-Run — wrote an op-ed for the Wall Street Journal. The provocative headline…

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Stephen Foerster

Stephen Foerster

11.1K Followers

I’m a Finance prof, CFA, and author of In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio (with Andrew Lo). I write stories about investing. (I don’t give financial advice.)