The Super Bowl Indicator: A Lesson on Correlation Versus Causation

Correlation does NOT imply causation

Stephen Foerster
4 min readJan 23, 2024

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NFL football game
Photo by Grant Thomas on Unsplash

Years ago in my Investments course, I got my students excited about an attractive investment strategy. (Spoiler alert: If you know me, you know I don’t give investment advice, and so this was a set-up.) I told them about some fascinating research that was recently published in the…

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Stephen Foerster

I’m a Finance prof, CFA, and author of In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio (with Andrew Lo). I write stories about investing. (I don’t give financial advice.)